November 30th – Comprehensive report: Fahrizad, the head of the nuclear program of Iran’s Ministry of Defense, was assassinated a few days ago, and his funeral ceremony will be held on the 30th local time.
Although no organization or individual have announced the attack, Iran believes that the attack was planned by Israel and will take retaliation “at the appropriate time”.
In recent years, Iran has repeatedly become a key fire in the “powder barrel” in the Middle East, which is very critical to the stability of the regional situation. The chain reaction caused by this incident will continue…
High-ranking official killed Iran released photos of the suspect, saying that the culprit was
During the driving of the vehicle, fierce explosions and shootings suddenly sounded back and forth, killing many people, including a prominent senior official… On the afternoon of November 27, local time, 60 kilometers northeast of Tehran, the Iranian capital, a strange search took place in the driveway near Abu Shad village. A common scene.
The senior official killed in the attack is Fahrizad, the head of the Iranian Ministry of Defense’s nuclear program. The car he was riding exploded and then a shooting occurred, killing many people.
Iran’s Ministry of Defense said that Fahrizad was sent to hospital for treatment after being seriously injured in the attack, but died in vain.
Later, in a live-televised cabinet meeting, Iranian President Rouhani expressed his attitude to the matter. He pointed out that Tehran would take revenge “at the right time” and that Israel was the “culprit”. Rouhani accused Israel of intending to “create chaos” through this murder.
In response, on the 28th local time, Israeli cabinet minister Hazabi said that he “does not know” who was behind the murder of Fahrizad.
Mawson Rezai, secretary of the Iranian regime’s expediency council, warned that the repeated assassinations of senior Iranian officials would give the impression that Iran’s security situation was undergoing some damage and fragile. This impression can be said to be “very dangerous”.
According to the Times of Israel, Iran has released photos of four suspects suspected of the murder of an Iranian nuclear scientist. Iranian intelligence personnel allegedly distributed photos of the suspects in hotels across the country and asked the hotel owners to report them immediately if they saw them.
What are the options for Iran?” Self-defense” will be one of its countermeasures
Iran will seek judicial investigation and international solidarity in the assassination of nuclear scientist Fahrizad. After analysis by Hassan Ahmadian, a professor of Middle East Studies at the University of Tehran, Iran will then study the remaining options, and that “self-defense will be Iran’s response”.
He stressed that Iran’s policymakers will take into account Israel’s recent diplomatic activities in the Gulf countries, but this will not hinder Iran’s response.
Iran may exercise restraint in the murder of Fahrizad at the beginning, but does not rule out the possibility of larger-scale retaliation in the future. Henry Rome, a senior analyst at Eurasia Group, a global political risk consulting company, also said.
Behind the assassination, about these countries and these people
Ellie Granmayer, a senior policy researcher at the European Council on Foreign Relations, analyzed that “While Fahrizad is believed to play a key role in promoting Iran’s nuclear activities, Iran’s nuclear program does not depend on one person” and that “the purpose of assassination is not to hinder the nuclear program, but to undermine diplomacy.”
The British Guardian analyzed that the assassination of Fahrizad may not have much impact on Iran’s entire nuclear program, but it will certainly make it more difficult to save the Iran nuclear agreement.
For the team of U.S. President-elect Biden, who is preparing to form the next government, Iran’s retaliatory strike may make negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue more difficult.
James Robbins, a senior researcher at the U.S. Foreign Policy Council, analyzed that if President-elect Biden enters the White House in the future, his government may force Iran to be patient before responding. Because any Iranian action against Israel will lead to “retaliation” by the United States, which will complicate the situation faced by Biden, who wants to return to the Iran nuclear agreement.
Iran Nuclear Agreement and U.S.-Iran Relations
In July 2015, Iran reached a comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue with the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Russia, China and Germany. According to the agreement, Iran promised to limit its nuclear program and the international community lifted sanctions against Iran.
However, in May 2018, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement, and then restarted and added a series of sanctions against Iran to date, which has led to the rapid deterioration of U.S.-Iran relations.
On January 3, 2020, the United States launched an unmanned airstrike on Baghdad International Airport in Iraq, killing Suleimani, the “important person” of Iran’s military operation in the Middle East. On the 8th, as a retaliation for the killing of Suleimani by the U.S. military, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran has launched missile attacks on several U.S. military bases in Iraq.