For Taiwanese society, winter is coming.
The PLA military planes “check in” the airspace southwest of Taiwan every day, and the Taiwan military has become a bird of surprise;
The Taiwan authorities “bet” US President Trump, Biden won, Tsai Ing-wen lost upright;
The “list of diehard separatists” will be released soon, and it has sounded the death knell for separatists…
To say that these incidents have little to do with most people in Taiwan, but the next news is directly related to the “money bag” and “rice bowl” of every Taiwanese citizen.
According to a report by the Global Times on November 16, the world’s largest free trade agreement “Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement” (RCEP) was officially signed the day before. This may be the most concerned and big news in the world after the US election dispute. After the news was released, the island society was filled with pessimism and despair.
The opposition parties criticized the authorities for deliberately not mentioning the impact of the economic and trade changes after the RCEP was signed on Taiwan, saying that China, Japan and South Korea will use RCEP to further their economic and trade integration. If Taiwan cannot participate in the RCEP and encounters the US regime change, Taiwan’s economic prospects are worrying. ；
Wang Wenyuan, who is also the president of Formosa Plastics and the chairman of the Federation of Industries, recently publicly stated that the completion of the RCEP signing today will detriment the competition of Taiwan’s industry, and the plastics industry will continue to face severe challenges;
According to polls, 37.0% of the people are “very worried”, 25.8% are “fairly worried”, 14.9% are “not too worried”, and only 5% are “not very worried”. “Know/No opinion” accounted for 17.3%.
In addition to the “United Daily News” which continues to distort facts and slander the mainland, almost all the media on the island, such as Zhongshi News Network and Dongsen News, have focused on the impact of RCEP on Taiwan’s economy: impacting traditional industries and making it difficult to fight for business opportunities in the service industry. Reducing foreign investment in industries will inevitably squeeze out Taiwan’s exports, and eventually Taiwan may be excluded from the international production chain.
Not to mention the current difficulties Taiwan’s economy is facing due to the deterioration of cross-strait relations and the impact of the new crown epidemic. In the long run, if Taiwan’s economy cannot find a new path of development, the traditional export-oriented economy will be squeezed out by RCEP, things will not be sold, and investment will not come in. The signing of RCEP has an obvious blow to Taiwan’s economy.
Unconsciously, “Poor Taiwan” is no longer just a simple slogan. The chief culprit for the marginalization of Taiwan’s economy is the DPP authorities.
Since taking office in 2016, Tsai Ing-wen has mainly planned to develop Taiwan’s economy from three aspects:
The first is to sign a Taiwan-US Free Trade Agreement (FTA, BTA) with the United States. In order to be able to successfully sign the FTA, the DPP authorities have been doing everything to please the United States in the past few years. Trump’s arms sales requirements have been unrejected. They have done everything to help the United States to contain mainland China. He licked his saliva and agreed to import Clenbuterol-containing beauty pigs. However, the United States has never talked about the practice of arguing for shortcomings. Trump’s ruling is fashionable and so, and if Bi is on stage with the Democratic Party, the United States will not sign a sign with Taiwan.
The second is to join the US-led Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). It is a pity that Trump kicked TPP away as soon as he came to power. Even TPP no longer exists. How can he join? This has become a joke of the DPP authorities. Japan later smashed a CPTPP, but Japan set an impossible condition for the DPP authorities, that is, to join the CPTPP, it must lift the ban on food from the Fukushima nuclear disaster area. If the DPP authorities agree to this condition, I am afraid that no matter how much “dried mango” is fed to the people of Taiwan, it will not be enough. That would require a cliff-like decline in the collective IQ of the island community.
The third is the so-called “new southward” economic policy that the DPP authorities have attached most importance to and vigorously promoted in the past four years. Tsai Ing-wen hopes to get rid of the pressure of Taiwan’s economic development by strengthening economic cooperation with Southeast Asian countries. In addition to economic factors, there are also cultural and foreign exchange considerations. While getting rid of dependence on the mainland economically, it strengthens the “comprehensive partnership” with countries in Southeast Asia and South Asia.
This is funny. Which countries in Southeast Asia and South Asia are not diplomatic relations with Mainland China? Moreover, without exception, the mainland is the largest trading partner of these countries. Which country would throw away watermelons just to pick up sesame seeds? From this point of view, even if the DPP authorities want to advance the “new southward” economic policy, it must look at the face of mainland China. The mainland does not allow it. The so-called “new southward” economic policy is a joke.
Over the past few years, the DPP authorities have promoted the so-called “new southward” economic policy, investing billions in money, but the results have been very poor. On the surface, Tsai Ing-wen’s three economic policies are to reduce economic dependence on the mainland, “do not put eggs in a basket”, and their real purpose is to achieve “de-sinicization” economically and split the country for it. Conspiracy service.
Now that the RCEP has been formally signed, this basically declares the complete failure of the so-called “new southward” economic policy. Under the RCEP framework, the DPP authorities will not give up their splittist position and recognize the “Nine” which represents the one China principle. “Two consensus” can only be excluded from the scope of RCEP. In the RCEP agreement, the ECFA, which the DPP once hated the most and is now most afraid of being invalidated, is probably out of the agreement. With the last “life-saving straw” cut off, Taiwan will become an economic island just around the corner.
Life in Taiwan is difficult this winter. If the people on the island do not abandon the splitting party, every day in the future will not be better.