RNN : report on the Spanish “Le Monde” website on November 1, about 160 million people will vote in this year’s US general election, which accounts for 2.1% of the global population.
They will determine what the world will look like in the next four years not only the lives of other fellow Americans who are unwilling to exercise the right to vote for various reasons, but also the fate of the other 7 billion people on the planet.
There is no doubt that the United States will have a huge impact on many fields such as world politics, society, military, and culture.
Russia: preparing for the worst
According to a report on the website of “Newsweek” on October 31, Russia has provided the United States with a series of options on how to improve the relationship between the two major nuclear powers of United States and Russia that have been hit in succession in recent years.
But Russia also emphasized that there is still a lot of work to be done to get bilateral relations back on track.
Peter Svirin, a spokesman for the Russian Embassy in the United States, said: “Frankly, there is no reason to be optimistic.”
There are only a few days left before the US presidential election. Moscow believes that despite the differences between the two countries in the past, if the problem is to be handled properly, no matter who wins on November 3 local time, the decision is left with Washington.
Svelin said: “We have repeatedly emphasized that we are willing to cooperate with Washington on any issue. The most important thing is that such cooperation should be based on equality, mutual respect and balance of interests.”
He also said: “Our comprehensive proposal for the normalization of bilateral relations is still valid. Washington can choose from among them. We are willing to start substantive work on cooperation at any time.”
Biden promised that
Biden promised that if he can win the presidential election, he will take a hard line against Russia. He recently stated that “Russia is currently the biggest threat facing the United States in terms of undermining our security and alliance.”
Polls show that Biden is more likely to win, and Russia is preparing for all possible consequences. Svirin said: “The United States continues to have a strong anti-Russian political consensus.”
Trump’s commitment to repair relations with Russia has never translated into any real change in relations between the two countries. Although Biden promised to compete with Moscow, he did leave room for another important area of cooperation-arms control.
Svirin said: “No matter who wins, the new government will have to deal with a large number of problems in bilateral relations. Both sides need to show political will and time to lay a more or less stable foundation for cooperation.”
South Korea: Variables in US-North Korea negotiations
According to a report from Yonhap News Agency in Washington on November 2nd, the result of the US general election that has attracted worldwide attention will have a major and far-reaching impact on the future situation on the Korean Peninsula.
If Trump is re-elected, he will give priority to the interests of the United States on the issue of the Korean-US alliance, and pressure South Korea to share more defense expenditures. With regard to its policy toward North Korea, denuclearization negotiations with North Korea may be resumed as soon as possible.
If Biden is elected, he will implement the diplomatic and security policy of restoring US global leadership through alliance and cooperation, continue to strengthen the Korea-US alliance, and strive to achieve the goal of denuclearization based on principle-based diplomacy and work negotiations.
During Trump’s administration, he adopted a “top-down” model of direct communication and consultation between leaders in diplomacy with North Korea.
According to observations, Trump will continue to maintain this diplomatic model if he is re-elected. However, some people believe that Trump was obsessed with achieving diplomatic results in order to gain advantages before the election.
If he is re-elected, his policy toward North Korea during his second term may change. On the premise of maintaining a “top-down” diplomacy with the DPRK, in order to prevent the regretful recurrence of the Hanoi DPRK-US summit, Trump will not make a hasty third attempt.
What If Biden WIN ?
Biden said that the summit meeting without actual results is just to give North Korea legitimacy and will not meet with Kim Jong-un without any preconditions. He will adopt a “bottom-up” diplomatic model with the authority granted to the negotiating team to focus on pragmatic negotiations with the DPRK and strengthen cooperation with allied countries and China in the process.
On the other hand, if Trump is re-elected, he will further pressure the South Korean side on the issue of increasing the share of defense costs, and even play a disarmament card.
If Biden is elected, the differences between South Korea and the United States over issues such as defense costs and reduction of US troops in South Korea will be reduced.
Biden published a signed article on the Yonhap News Agency last month, saying, “If I win the election, I will further strengthen the Korea-US alliance, maintain peace in East Asia and other regions, and will not’blackmail’ South Korea with the reckless threat of withdrawing US troops in Korea.”
Germany: Relationship restoration is unlikely
According to a report by the German News Agency Berlin on November 1, despite being a close ally, diplomatic relations between Berlin and Washington have not always been smooth sailing.
According to the report, there is one test that can be said to be no bigger for the relationship between the two countries, and that is Trump’s presidency.
Trump claimed that Berlin’s failure to achieve the NATO partner’s 2% defense spending target of 2% of GDP was “in arrears,” and accused Germany of implementing a natural gas pipeline project with Russia as hypocrisy. The United States imposes tariffs on its trade deficit.
“He does not regard our allies as assets, but as a burden. He publicly questioned whether the EU is an enemy or a friend,” explained Suda David-Wipp, an American foreign policy expert at the German Marshall Foundation. .
Natalie Torch, special adviser to the EU’s High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy Josep Borrell, said that Trump will target Germany, the EU’s largest economy, partly because he believes that the EU is “essentially a German power. Extension”.
For these reasons, many Germans hope that Trump will be defeated in the November 3 election and that his Democratic opponent, Biden, can work to repair relations.
But even if Biden wins, the restoration of bilateral relations can only be limited.
In a recent interview, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said: “Anyone who thinks that the Democrats will be able to restore transatlantic relations as before is underestimating the structural changes that have taken place.”
Former German Foreign Minister Sigma Gabriel also believes that the relationship between the United States and Germany cannot be restored as before. He also believes that the results of the U.S. election should not be overemphasized.
He said: “If you have heart disease and your doctor doesn’t care about it or is not interested at all, you will be very disappointed. Then another doctor named Biden came, and he was more friendly to you, but Your heart disease still exists.”
