December 4th – The University of Washington model depicts the trend of the increase in the number of coronavirus deaths in the United States in the coming months. By April 1, at least 540,000 Americans may have died of the epidemic, and shows that even if the vaccine is used quickly, this data will not be significantly reduced.
According to CNN on April 4, according to the data updated by the Institute of Health Metrology and Evaluation (IHME) that morning, 538,893 Americans may die of the novel coronavirus by April 1. The model suggests that the daily death toll will peak at 3,000 in mid-January 2021 and then gradually decline.
As to how vaccines are put into use, the model data shows that even “rapidly roll out vaccination efforts”, it will still cause about 527,704 deaths by April 1, a reduction of only about 11,000. For the role of wearing a mask, the model shows that more than 66,000 Americans can save lives. According to the report, the model mainly covers all the time periods before the vaccine is expected to be widely available to the public.
In addition, strict epidemic prevention and anti-epidemic measures also have a great impact on the number of deaths caused by the epidemic. The model shows that if the epidemic prevention safety requirements are lowered and the relevant epidemic prevention and anti-epidemic measures are not extended with the increase of the number of cases, the death toll will soar to 717229 in April. Therefore, the researchers suggest that “avoiding more deaths depends largely on the package of tasks carried out by governors when the pressure on hospitals rises”.
U.S. President-elect Biden said on Thursday (3rd) that he planned to require the public to wear masks for at least 100 days on the day of inauguration, hoping to “see a significant decrease in coronavirus cases”.
However, CNN reported that although the coronavirus epidemic continues to be popular in the United States, Americans still resist wearing masks. Few people wore masks during a ceremony held in the Oval Office of the White House on Thursday, according to the reporters at the scene.