April 11 According to the World Daily, meteorological experts at Colorado State University issued long-term forecasts that the intensity of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season will be above average for the sixth consecutive year, and may be close to the record of “super intensity”.
The number of Atlantic storms in 2020 has been named, which is an unprecedented record. Colorado State University experts predict that there will be 17 storms in 2021, five more than the 12.1 hurricanes per year average; eight hurricanes, which are also higher than the average of 6.4 in the calendar year.
This prediction is not good news for residents of the Gulf Coast. Many residents in this area are still affected by the 2020 hurricane. Since 2016, Puerto Rico, Bahamas, the Virgin Islands and Central America have been hit hard by mega-hurricanes.
Scientists say four major hurricanes may hit the Atlantic coast in 2021, with an annual average of only 2.7 over the past 30 years. A storm with three-level or winds of 111 miles per hour or more is called a major hurricane.
Krauzbach, the lead author of the forecast report, predicts that the probability of 48 states in the United States mainland China will be hit by a major hurricane in 2021 is close to 70%, which is 50% higher than the average in previous years.
The probability of major hurricanes on the east coast and Gulf Coast of the United States is 45% each, and the probability of hurricanes of the same magnitude hitting the Caribbean Sea is 58%, partly due to the “unusually high sea level temperature”, which is also due to the continuous slowing La Niña phenomenon.
Krauzbach’s 2020 forecast is exactly the same as this year, including four major hurricanes. As a result, there will be six major hurricanes in the 2020 hurricane season, which is also 21% stronger than predicted.