Spain’s China Policy Watch website published an article entitled “The United States is wearing the shoes of the disintegrated Soviet Union” on January 4.
The author of Alfredo Toro Adi, a former Venezuelan diplomat, believes that China followed the same strategy as the United States’s strategy against the Soviet Union in its competition with the United States.
From this perspective, China is winning the game created by the United States. The United States is preparing to put on the shoes of the disintegrated Soviet Union. This is the paradox of history. The full text is excerpted as follows:
In the late 1970s, the Soviet Union spent much more on armaments than the United States, although its GDP was only one-third of that of the United States. In addition to the excessive Soviet military expenditure, there is another significant fact.
Beginning in the late 1970s, Washington implemented a strategy aimed at countering the high military spending of the Soviet Union through more advanced military technology.
The United States integrates various weapons systems with a view to achieving higher shooting accuracy and (intercontinental) missile penetration capabilities.
The implementation of this strategy forced the Soviet Union to further increase military spending to compensate for its low level of armament technology.
From the mid-1980s, President Reagan greatly increased U.S. arms spending and threatened to develop the Star Wars program, and the Soviet Union was exhausted.
The challenges posed by the United States not only exceeded the economic and technological capabilities of the Soviet Union, but also required greater sacrifices by the Soviet people, which triggered a political spiral that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Now that the United States is against China, the United States sees that its relationship with China is equivalent to a reversal of its original relationship with the Soviet Union.
It is estimated that China’s total economy will exceed that of the United States by 2030. Starting from 2030, the United States will lose in terms of budget competitiveness.
This will lead to a gap that is detrimental to the United States, and the gap will widen year by year. In the words of Bai Bangrui, an expert on China at the Hudson Institute of the United States, “By 2050, China’s economy will greatly exceed that of the United States… China’s military spending capacity will also exceed that of the United States.”
In this case, if Washington tries to keep up with the pace of spending in a more prosperous China, it may fall into economic predicament.
This is exactly the end of the Soviet Union under constant pressure from the United States.
However, in addition to the rise in economic strength, China also followed the same strategy as the United States against the Soviet Union, that is, to counterbalance the huge military expenditure of the United States by raising the level of technology.
From this perspective, China is winning the game created by the United States.
Therefore, the United States is preparing to put on the shoes of the disintegrated Soviet Union. This is the paradox of history.
