According to a report by the British “Daily Mail” on the 26th, Dr. Anthony Fauci, a top American infectious disease expert, believes that the United States may still be in the first wave of the elongated new coronavirus epidemic.
Fauci talked about the current situation of the pandemic in the United States at a summit event hosted by Yahoo! He said: “I think the current situation is more like the extension and deterioration of the first wave of the epidemic.”
According to data analysis from Johns Hopkins University, the average number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the United States has reached an average daily increase of 68,767 in the last seven days, setting a record since July.
In the past week (October 19-25, local time), there were a total of 481,372 new confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the United States, which was the week with the largest number of new cases in a single week. Moreover, the number of new cases in a single day on October 23 and 24 both exceeded 80,000, both breaking records since the outbreak.
Fauci believes that the surge in cases we are seeing now does not mean the arrival of the second wave of epidemics, but the result of the United States’ failure to reduce the number of daily cases to a low baseline sufficient to prevent recurrence.
In July this year, Fauci said: “We are starting to see a peak, and now there are about 70,000 new cases in a single day.”
Now Fauci said: “The weather is getting colder and we are back to the worst level ever, with more than 80,000 new cases every day.”
Many health experts warn that these new peaks are the beginning of a terrible second wave of epidemics.
European health authorities are quite convinced that they are seeing the second wave of the epidemic.
Even those countries that avoided severe outbreaks during the first wave of outbreaks in Europe in the spring have seen a surge in the number of cases recently. Many European governments have taken containment measures again to slow the spread of the virus.
In Fauci’s view, if the United States can reduce the number of new cases in a single day to 10,000 or less per day in the summer, then the United States has reached a “low baseline.” However, the number of new cases in a single day in the United States has dropped to only 20,000 per day.
“We have never really experienced that kind of fluctuation: first rise and then fall to a good baseline. It was swinging up and down before,” Fauci said, “so now we are at the highest baseline…it’s a game of words. You can Call it the third wave or the first elongated wave. No matter how you look at it, this is not good news.”
Optimistically, Fauci predicts that there may be a “safe and effective” vaccine in the United States by December.